Primeira Liga ·
Sporting CP meet Moreirense in the Primeira Liga. Our model gives Sporting CP a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moreirense 9%. Sporting CP average 2.2 goals at home; Moreirense concede 1.6 away. Season goal averages point to 1.9-1.3 (3.2 total). Moreirense average 1.2 goals away; Sporting CP concede 1.4 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 84% · fair 1.19
1.12
Sporting CP or Moreirense (no draw)
Model 86% · fair 1.17
1.10
Sporting CP or draw
Model 90% · fair 1.12
1.04
Draw or Moreirense
Model 22% · fair 4.55
5.50
Value +21.0%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP to winShort -6.0% | 80% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| DrawValue +8.5% | 14% | 7.37 | 8.00 |
| Moreirense to winValue +50.0% | 9% | 10.66 | 16.00 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Sporting CP or drawShort -6.8% | 90% | 1.12 | 1.04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP or Moreirense (no draw)Short -5.8% | 86% | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Draw or MoreirenseValue +21.0% | 22% | 4.55 | 5.50 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreValue +7.6% | 48% | 2.09 | 2.25 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -11.3% | 52% | 1.92 | 1.70 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -6.3% | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +6.0% | 16% | 6.13 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -5.3% | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -1.5% | 34% | 2.92 | 2.88 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -6.8% | 44% | 2.25 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -3.8% | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.