Premier League ·
Nottingham Forest meet Manchester City in the Premier League. Our model gives Nottingham Forest a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manchester City 57%. Manchester City average 2.3 goals away; Nottingham Forest concede 0.8 at home. Season goal averages point to 0.4-1.5 (1.9 total). Nottingham Forest average 0.0 goals at home; Manchester City concede 0.8 away. Both teams to score is rated at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest or Manchester City (no draw)
Model 76% · fair 1.31
1.25
Draw or Manchester City
Model 81% · fair 1.23
1.22
Over 1.5 goals
Model 76% · fair 1.31
1.20
Under 1.5 goals
Model 24% · fair 4.18
4.50
Value +7.6%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest to winShort -9.6% | 19% | 5.25 | 4.75 |
| DrawShort -6.0% | 24% | 4.15 | 3.90 |
| Manchester City to winShort -0.3% | 57% | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Nottingham Forest or drawShort -10.7% | 43% | 2.35 | 2.10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest or Manchester City (no draw)Short -4.9% | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Draw or Manchester CityShort -0.9% | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -11.1% | 55% | 1.82 | 1.62 |
| Both teams not to scoreValue +7.4% | 45% | 2.22 | 2.38 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -8.7% | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +7.6% | 24% | 4.18 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -11.1% | 55% | 1.82 | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goalsValue +3.7% | 45% | 2.22 | 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -13.2% | 33% | 3.03 | 2.63 |
| Under 3.5 goalsFair +0.5% | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
