This page lists the next Premier League fixtures that ArtificialAcca has bookmaker prices for, the selection the model rates most likely in each match, and a ready-made three-leg Premier League acca built from the strongest of them. Premier League is part of England football, and every pick is a probability estimate, not a prediction you can bank.
Draw or Manchester City
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City
Model 82% · 1.22
Over 1.5 goals
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Model 82% · 1.17
Over 1.5 goals
Brighton v Brentford
Model 81% · 1.18
Combined odds 1.68 · Model probability 54%
Built from the most likely pick in each of the three strongest fixtures below. Odds are the best price found and can change.
Everton or draw1.22 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 80%
Over 1.5 goals1.25 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 77%
Under 3.5 goals1.34 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 72%
Leeds or Tottenham (no draw)1.34 · model 72%
Bookmakers price this at 72%
Arsenal to win1.20 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 83%
Over 1.5 goals1.17 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 82%
Over 1.5 goals1.22 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 78%
Fulham or Newcastle (no draw)1.30 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Draw or Manchester City1.22 · model 82%
Bookmakers price this at 79%
Over 1.5 goals1.22 · model 76%
Bookmakers price this at 79%
Over 1.5 goals1.18 · model 81%
Bookmakers price this at 80%
Brighton or Brentford (no draw)1.28 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 76%
Over 1.5 goals1.17 · model 82%
Bookmakers price this at 81%
Draw or Liverpool1.20 · model 81%
Bookmakers price this at 81%
Over 1.5 goals1.22 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 78%
Ipswich or Bournemouth (no draw)1.29 · model 76%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Over 1.5 goals1.25 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 77%
Sunderland or Chelsea (no draw)1.31 · model 73%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Over 1.5 goals1.18 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 80%
Manchester United or Aston Villa (no draw)1.30 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
For each Premier League match we collect prices across the 1X2, double chance, both teams to score and over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals markets, remove the bookmaker margin to get a fair market probability, and blend that with a goals model built from each side's scoring record. The result is a model probability for every selection, shown next to the best available decimal odds.
Picks on this page are ranked by model probability, within odds of 1.15 to 4.00 so that a leg is neither trivially short nor a long shot. The edge figure (model probability multiplied by odds, minus one) shows where the model and the market disagree; a high probability at short odds can still have no edge.
Premier League is one of the most heavily priced competitions we cover, which means plenty of bookmakers and a sharp market consensus to anchor the model. That makes the probabilities more dependable, but it also means obvious favourites are priced tightly, so the value in a Premier League acca usually comes from choosing the right market rather than the right team.
Matchdays in England football are not all equal: fixture congestion, international breaks and end-of-season incentives all change how predictable a round of games is. Weigh the model's probabilities against what you know about team news.
Keep it short. Combined probability is the product of each leg: five legs at 70% each land together about 17% of the time, and three legs at 70% about 34%. Every leg you add multiplies the odds but divides your chance of winning.
Use one selection per match, since two legs from the same game are correlated and the bookmaker's acca price already accounts for that. Mix markets, and use the results page to see how ArtificialAcca's own accas have actually performed.
More acca tips: BTTS acca · Over 2.5 goals acca · Over 1.5 goals acca · Under 2.5 goals acca · Double chance acca · Home win acca · all acca tips.
More leagues: all acca tips by league.
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
