Serie A ·
Napoli meet Lazio in the Serie A. Our model gives Napoli a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lazio 35%. Season goal averages point to 1.3-2.0 (3.3 total). Napoli average 2.0 goals at home; Lazio concede 0.6 away. Lazio average 2.8 goals away; Napoli concede 1.3 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 79% · fair 1.27
1.22
Napoli or Lazio (no draw)
Model 75% · fair 1.34
1.29
Under 3.5 goals
Model 65% · fair 1.55
1.44
Lazio to win
Model 35% · fair 2.84
3.00
Value +5.7%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to winShort -12.1% | 38% | 2.62 | 2.30 |
| DrawShort -9.4% | 25% | 3.97 | 3.60 |
| Lazio to winValue +5.7% | 35% | 2.84 | 3.00 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Napoli or drawShort -10.6% | 66% | 1.52 | 1.36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli or Lazio (no draw)Short -3.4% | 75% | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Draw or LazioFair +0.3% | 61% | 1.64 | 1.65 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -3.2% | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -7.5% | 40% | 2.49 | 2.30 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -3.8% | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -8.4% | 21% | 4.72 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -1.3% | 57% | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -9.8% | 43% | 2.33 | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goalsFair +2.2% | 35% | 2.82 | 2.88 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -7.1% | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
