This page lists the next Serie A fixtures that ArtificialAcca has bookmaker prices for, the selection the model rates most likely in each match, and a ready-made three-leg Serie A acca built from the strongest of them. Serie A is part of Italy football, and every pick is a probability estimate, not a prediction you can bank.
Over 1.5 goals
Monza v Atalanta
Model 83% · 1.17
Over 1.5 goals
Cagliari v Frosinone
Model 80% · 1.17
Over 1.5 goals
Napoli v Lazio
Model 79% · 1.22
Combined odds 1.67 · Model probability 52%
Built from the most likely pick in each of the three strongest fixtures below. Odds are the best price found and can change.
Over 1.5 goals1.29 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Venezia or Udinese (no draw)1.33 · model 73%
Bookmakers price this at 72%
Over 1.5 goals1.17 · model 80%
Bookmakers price this at 81%
Cagliari or Frosinone (no draw)1.29 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Over 1.5 goals1.29 · model 76%
Bookmakers price this at 74%
Torino or draw1.22 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 78%
Draw or Bologna1.20 · model 78%
Bookmakers price this at 78%
Under 3.5 goals1.25 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
AS Roma to win1.30 · model 73%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Over 2.5 goals1.36 · model 71%
Bookmakers price this at 71%
Over 1.5 goals1.22 · model 79%
Bookmakers price this at 77%
Napoli or Lazio (no draw)1.29 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 73%
Draw or AC Milan1.20 · model 77%
Bookmakers price this at 79%
Under 3.5 goals1.25 · model 75%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Over 1.5 goals1.17 · model 83%
Bookmakers price this at 81%
Monza or Atalanta (no draw)1.28 · model 76%
Bookmakers price this at 75%
Inter or Como (no draw)1.22 · model 78%
Bookmakers price this at 77%
Over 2.5 goals1.50 · model 67%
Bookmakers price this at 65%
Over 1.5 goals1.25 · model 76%
Bookmakers price this at 76%
Fiorentina or Juventus (no draw)1.30 · model 74%
Bookmakers price this at 73%
For each Serie A match we collect prices across the 1X2, double chance, both teams to score and over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals markets, remove the bookmaker margin to get a fair market probability, and blend that with a goals model built from each side's scoring record. The result is a model probability for every selection, shown next to the best available decimal odds.
Picks on this page are ranked by model probability, within odds of 1.15 to 4.00 so that a leg is neither trivially short nor a long shot. The edge figure (model probability multiplied by odds, minus one) shows where the model and the market disagree; a high probability at short odds can still have no edge.
Serie A is one of the most heavily priced competitions we cover, which means plenty of bookmakers and a sharp market consensus to anchor the model. That makes the probabilities more dependable, but it also means obvious favourites are priced tightly, so the value in a Serie A acca usually comes from choosing the right market rather than the right team.
Matchdays in Italy football are not all equal: fixture congestion, international breaks and end-of-season incentives all change how predictable a round of games is. Weigh the model's probabilities against what you know about team news.
Keep it short. Combined probability is the product of each leg: five legs at 70% each land together about 17% of the time, and three legs at 70% about 34%. Every leg you add multiplies the odds but divides your chance of winning.
Use one selection per match, since two legs from the same game are correlated and the bookmaker's acca price already accounts for that. Mix markets, and use the results page to see how ArtificialAcca's own accas have actually performed.
More acca tips: BTTS acca · Over 2.5 goals acca · Over 1.5 goals acca · Under 2.5 goals acca · Double chance acca · Home win acca · all acca tips.
More leagues: all acca tips by league.
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
