Serie A ·
Genoa meet AC Milan in the Serie A. Our model gives Genoa a 22% chance of winning, the draw 27% and AC Milan 51%. Genoa average 1.2 goals at home; AC Milan concede 1.0 away. Season goal averages point to 1.1-1.5 (2.6 total). AC Milan average 1.6 goals away; Genoa concede 1.3 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Under 3.5 goals
Model 75% · fair 1.34
1.25
Genoa or AC Milan (no draw)
Model 74% · fair 1.36
1.29
Draw or AC Milan
Model 77% · fair 1.29
1.20
Genoa to win
Model 22% · fair 4.49
4.75
Value +5.8%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa to winValue +5.8% | 22% | 4.49 | 4.75 |
| DrawShort -2.8% | 27% | 3.71 | 3.60 |
| AC Milan to winShort -8.9% | 51% | 1.98 | 1.80 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Genoa or drawShort -1.8% | 49% | 2.04 | 2.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa or AC Milan (no draw)Short -5.1% | 74% | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Draw or AC MilanShort -7.2% | 77% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -4.4% | 49% | 2.04 | 1.95 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -4.7% | 51% | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -3.8% | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -5.0% | 29% | 3.42 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -5.3% | 45% | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -3.9% | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goalsFair +0.7% | 25% | 3.97 | 4.00 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -6.5% | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
