Premier League ·
Fulham meet Newcastle in the Premier League. Our model gives Fulham a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle 29%. Fulham average 1.5 goals at home; Newcastle concede 2.0 away. Season goal averages point to 1.8-1.6 (3.4 total). Newcastle average 1.5 goals away; Fulham concede 1.8 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 80% · fair 1.25
1.20
Fulham or Newcastle (no draw)
Model 75% · fair 1.33
1.29
Fulham or draw
Model 70% · fair 1.42
1.30
Newcastle to win
Model 29% · fair 3.50
3.70
Value +5.7%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to winShort -7.6% | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
| DrawShort -7.9% | 25% | 4.02 | 3.70 |
| Newcastle to winValue +5.7% | 29% | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham or drawShort -8.6% | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Fulham or Newcastle (no draw)Short -2.8% | 75% | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Draw or NewcastleShort -1.8% | 55% | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -3.7% | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -3.4% | 39% | 2.59 | 2.50 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -3.7% | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -9.1% | 20% | 5.06 | 4.60 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -1.5% | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -7.7% | 41% | 2.44 | 2.25 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -0.6% | 38% | 2.65 | 2.63 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -6.7% | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
