Primeira Liga ·
Estrela meet Benfica in the Primeira Liga. Our model gives Estrela a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Benfica 75%. Estrela average 1.2 goals at home; Benfica concede 0.8 away. Season goal averages point to 1.0-2.6 (3.6 total). Benfica average 3.4 goals away; Estrela concede 1.8 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 68%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Draw or Benfica
Model 89% · fair 1.12
1.07
Estrela or Benfica (no draw)
Model 85% · fair 1.18
1.12
Over 1.5 goals
Model 85% · fair 1.18
1.12
Estrela or draw
Model 26% · fair 3.88
4.00
Value +3.0%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela to winFair +0.3% | 10% | 9.97 | 10.00 |
| DrawShort -11.4% | 15% | 6.78 | 6.00 |
| Benfica to winShort -5.9% | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Estrela or drawValue +3.0% | 26% | 3.88 | 4.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela or Benfica (no draw)Short -4.9% | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Draw or BenficaShort -4.5% | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -4.3% | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -8.7% | 47% | 2.14 | 1.95 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -4.9% | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -9.6% | 15% | 6.64 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -2.3% | 68% | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -7.4% | 32% | 3.11 | 2.88 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -2.0% | 47% | 2.14 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -9.8% | 53% | 1.87 | 1.69 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
