Primeira Liga ·
Alverca meet Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga. Our model gives Alverca a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Casa Pia 23%. Casa Pia average 0.8 goals away; Alverca concede 1.2 at home. Season goal averages point to 0.9-1.0 (1.9 total). Alverca average 1.0 goals at home; Casa Pia concede 0.8 away. Both teams to score is rated at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Alverca or Casa Pia (no draw)
Model 73% · fair 1.36
1.25
Alverca or draw
Model 76% · fair 1.32
1.20
Under 3.5 goals
Model 75% · fair 1.34
1.30
Casa Pia to win
Model 23% · fair 4.26
4.60
Value +8.0%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca to winShort -12.0% | 50% | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| DrawValue +5.0% | 28% | 3.62 | 3.80 |
| Casa Pia to winValue +8.0% | 23% | 4.26 | 4.60 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Alverca or drawShort -9.0% | 76% | 1.32 | 1.20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca or Casa Pia (no draw)Short -8.4% | 73% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Draw or Casa PiaFair +1.1% | 49% | 2.03 | 2.05 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -8.5% | 48% | 2.09 | 1.91 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -0.5% | 52% | 1.92 | 1.91 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -9.5% | 70% | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +4.6% | 30% | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -10.4% | 46% | 2.18 | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 goalsFair +1.1% | 54% | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -13.7% | 25% | 3.94 | 3.40 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -3.0% | 75% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
