Championship ·
Watford meet Middlesbrough in the Championship. Our model gives Watford a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 59%. Watford average 1.3 goals at home; Middlesbrough concede 1.4 away. Season goal averages point to 1.4-1.6 (3.0 total). Middlesbrough average 1.9 goals away; Watford concede 1.3 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 82% · fair 1.22
1.14
Watford or Middlesbrough (no draw)
Model 78% · fair 1.28
1.22
Draw or Middlesbrough
Model 79% · fair 1.26
1.15
Watford to win
Model 20% · fair 4.93
5.50
Value +11.6%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford to winValue +11.6% | 20% | 4.93 | 5.50 |
| DrawShort -2.5% | 21% | 4.72 | 4.60 |
| Middlesbrough to winShort -7.8% | 59% | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Watford or drawFair +0.0% | 42% | 2.40 | 2.40 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford or Middlesbrough (no draw)Short -4.3% | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Draw or MiddlesbroughShort -9.0% | 79% | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -5.6% | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -2.3% | 40% | 2.51 | 2.45 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -6.7% | 82% | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +9.0% | 18% | 5.51 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -6.4% | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -1.1% | 38% | 2.66 | 2.63 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -10.8% | 41% | 2.47 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -0.7% | 59% | 1.68 | 1.67 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.