La Liga ·
Valencia meet Real Madrid in the La Liga. Our model gives Valencia a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Real Madrid 73%. Valencia average 0.5 goals at home; Real Madrid concede 1.2 away. Season goal averages point to 0.8-1.8 (2.6 total). Real Madrid average 1.8 goals away; Valencia concede 1.8 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Draw or Real Madrid
Model 87% · fair 1.15
1.08
Valencia or Real Madrid (no draw)
Model 83% · fair 1.21
1.12
Over 1.5 goals
Model 82% · fair 1.22
1.12
Valencia or draw
Model 29% · fair 3.44
4.00
Value +16.3%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia to winValue +24.7% | 11% | 8.82 | 11.00 |
| DrawValue +8.7% | 17% | 5.98 | 6.50 |
| Real Madrid to winShort -6.0% | 73% | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Valencia or drawValue +16.3% | 29% | 3.44 | 4.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia or Real Madrid (no draw)Short -7.1% | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Draw or Real MadridShort -5.7% | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -4.9% | 51% | 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -4.2% | 49% | 2.04 | 1.95 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -8.1% | 82% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +16.5% | 18% | 5.58 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -8.3% | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goalsValue +4.7% | 36% | 2.75 | 2.88 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -10.5% | 43% | 2.35 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goalsFair +0.4% | 57% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.