La Liga ·
Real Sociedad meet Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Our model gives Real Sociedad a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Vallecano 22%. Real Sociedad average 1.4 goals at home; Rayo Vallecano concede 2.6 away. Season goal averages point to 2.0-1.3 (3.3 total). Rayo Vallecano average 1.2 goals away; Real Sociedad concede 1.4 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 82% · fair 1.22
1.17
Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano (no draw)
Model 77% · fair 1.29
1.25
Real Sociedad or draw
Model 78% · fair 1.28
1.20
No selection in this match currently clears our value checks (a clear edge over fair odds, with the model close to the bookmakers' consensus).
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to winShort -2.9% | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| DrawShort -8.0% | 22% | 4.46 | 4.10 |
| Rayo Vallecano to winShort -0.9% | 22% | 4.54 | 4.50 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Real Sociedad or drawShort -6.3% | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano (no draw)Short -3.2% | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Draw or Rayo VallecanoShort -6.4% | 45% | 2.24 | 2.10 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -2.9% | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -7.9% | 40% | 2.50 | 2.30 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -4.4% | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -8.7% | 18% | 5.48 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -2.9% | 62% | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -9.2% | 38% | 2.62 | 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 goalsFair +1.4% | 40% | 2.52 | 2.55 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -5.4% | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
