FA Cup ·
Plymouth meet Alvechurch in the FA Cup. Our model gives Plymouth a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Alvechurch 8%. Both teams to score is rated at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 67%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Plymouth or draw
Model 91% · fair 1.09
1.05
Plymouth or Alvechurch (no draw)
Model 86% · fair 1.16
1.11
Over 1.5 goals
Model 84% · fair 1.19
1.12
No selection in this match currently clears our value checks (a clear edge over fair odds, with the model close to the bookmakers' consensus).
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth to winShort -4.2% | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| DrawShort -5.6% | 13% | 7.42 | 7.00 |
| Alvechurch to winShort -3.9% | 8% | 12.48 | 12.00 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Plymouth or drawShort -4.0% | 91% | 1.09 | 1.05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth or Alvechurch (no draw)Short -4.1% | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Draw or AlvechurchShort -4.2% | 22% | 4.52 | 4.33 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -4.0% | 48% | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -3.8% | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -6.3% | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +6.0% | 16% | 6.13 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -4.0% | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -4.0% | 33% | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -3.6% | 46% | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -6.4% | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
