Major League Soccer ·
Philadelphia Union meet Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Our model gives Philadelphia Union a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 17%. Toronto FC average 0.9 goals away; Philadelphia Union concede 1.1 at home. Season goal averages point to 1.9-1.0 (2.9 total). Philadelphia Union average 1.8 goals at home; Toronto FC concede 1.9 away. Both teams to score is rated at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Philadelphia Union or draw
Model 83% · fair 1.20
1.13
Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC (no draw)
Model 80% · fair 1.25
1.18
Over 1.5 goals
Model 83% · fair 1.20
1.10
Under 2.5 goals
Model 34% · fair 2.96
3.10
Value +4.7%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union to winShort -7.8% | 64% | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| DrawFair +2.6% | 20% | 5.12 | 5.25 |
| Toronto FC to winFair +2.9% | 17% | 5.83 | 6.00 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Philadelphia Union or drawShort -5.8% | 83% | 1.20 | 1.13 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union or Toronto FC (no draw)Short -5.6% | 80% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Draw or Toronto FCFair +0.1% | 36% | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -8.4% | 60% | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| Both teams not to scoreFair +0.4% | 40% | 2.49 | 2.50 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -8.2% | 83% | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Under 1.5 goalsValue +15.7% | 17% | 6.05 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -10.0% | 66% | 1.51 | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 goalsValue +4.7% | 34% | 2.96 | 3.10 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -12.6% | 46% | 2.18 | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -2.4% | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.