Ligue 1 ·
Lens meet Marseille in the Ligue 1. Our model gives Lens a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marseille 33%. Season goal averages point to 1.8-1.6 (3.3 total). Lens average 2.3 goals at home; Marseille concede 1.3 away. Marseille average 1.8 goals away; Lens concede 1.3 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 84% · fair 1.19
1.14
Lens or Marseille (no draw)
Model 76% · fair 1.31
1.25
Lens or draw
Model 67% · fair 1.49
1.40
No selection in this match currently clears our value checks (a clear edge over fair odds, with the model close to the bookmakers' consensus).
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens to winShort -2.1% | 43% | 2.35 | 2.30 |
| DrawShort -6.5% | 24% | 4.17 | 3.90 |
| Marseille to winShort -3.0% | 33% | 2.99 | 2.90 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Lens or drawShort -6.2% | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens or Marseille (no draw)Short -4.9% | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Draw or MarseilleShort -4.9% | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -5.2% | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -4.3% | 34% | 2.93 | 2.80 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -4.5% | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -2.8% | 16% | 6.17 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -3.8% | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -3.2% | 36% | 2.79 | 2.70 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -5.4% | 43% | 2.32 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -4.8% | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.