Championship ·
Birmingham meet Swansea in the Championship. Our model gives Birmingham a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swansea 22%. Birmingham average 2.4 goals at home; Swansea concede 1.9 away. Season goal averages point to 2.1-1.2 (3.3 total). Swansea average 1.4 goals away; Birmingham concede 1.0 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Birmingham or draw
Model 78% · fair 1.28
1.22
Birmingham or Swansea (no draw)
Model 76% · fair 1.32
1.29
Over 1.5 goals
Model 77% · fair 1.30
1.29
Over 3.5 goals
Model 33% · fair 3.05
3.25
Value +6.6%
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham to winShort -0.9% | 54% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| DrawShort -13.1% | 24% | 4.14 | 3.60 |
| Swansea to winShort -7.0% | 22% | 4.52 | 4.20 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Birmingham or drawShort -5.0% | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham or Swansea (no draw)Short -2.6% | 76% | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Draw or SwanseaShort -8.7% | 47% | 2.14 | 1.95 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -2.8% | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -8.9% | 44% | 2.25 | 2.05 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -0.6% | 77% | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -14.1% | 23% | 4.36 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 goalsValue +3.4% | 54% | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -12.4% | 46% | 2.18 | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goalsValue +6.6% | 33% | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -8.6% | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.