Who is likely to win Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?

Our model gives Auckland a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Wellington Phoenix 32%. These are probabilities, not guarantees: any of the three results can happen.

Will both teams score in Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?

Our model rates both teams to score as a 57% chance (fair odds 1.76) against a best price of 1.67. That is a probability, not a guarantee.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?

Our model rates over 2.5 goals as a 54% chance (fair odds 1.85) against a best price of 1.80. That is a probability, not a guarantee.

Auckland v Wellington Phoenix prediction and acca tips

A-League · Sat 7 Nov 04:00 UK time

Auckland meet Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. Our model gives Auckland a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wellington Phoenix 32%. Auckland average 2.0 goals at home; Wellington Phoenix concede 0.3 away. Season goal averages point to 1.1-2.3 (3.4 total). Wellington Phoenix average 2.3 goals away; Auckland concede 2.3 at home. Both teams to score is rated at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.

Strongest picks

Over 1.5 goals
Model 77% · fair 1.30
1.26
Auckland or Wellington Phoenix (no draw)
Model 74% · fair 1.35
1.30
Under 3.5 goals
Model 67% · fair 1.49
1.37

Best value

No selection in this match currently clears our value checks (a clear edge over fair odds, with the model close to the bookmakers' consensus).

Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.

Auckland v Wellington Phoenix odds and model probabilities

Match result
Selection	Model	Fair	Best
Auckland to winShort -9.7%	42%	2.38	2.15
DrawShort -7.0%	26%	3.87	3.60
Wellington Phoenix to winFair +0.9%	32%	3.17	3.20

Double chance
Selection	Model	Fair	Best
Auckland or drawShort -6.1%	69%	1.45	1.36
Auckland or Wellington Phoenix (no draw)Short -3.5%	74%	1.35	1.30
Draw or Wellington PhoenixShort -4.2%	57%	1.74	1.67

Both teams to score
Selection	Model	Fair	Best
Both teams to scoreShort -5.0%	57%	1.76	1.67
Both teams not to scoreShort -5.2%	43%	2.32	2.20

Goals over/under
Selection	Model	Fair	Best
Over 1.5 goalsShort -2.7%	77%	1.30	1.26
Under 1.5 goalsShort -6.5%	23%	4.38	4.10
Over 2.5 goalsShort -2.6%	54%	1.85	1.80
Under 2.5 goalsShort -8.3%	46%	2.18	2.00
Over 3.5 goalsFair +1.7%	33%	3.05	3.10
Under 3.5 goalsShort -8.0%	67%	1.49	1.37

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.

Auckland v Wellington Phoenix FAQ

Who is likely to win Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?: Our model gives Auckland a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Wellington Phoenix 32%. These are probabilities, not guarantees: any of the three results can happen.
Will both teams score in Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?: Our model rates both teams to score as a 57% chance (fair odds 1.76) against a best price of 1.67. That is a probability, not a guarantee.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Auckland v Wellington Phoenix?: Our model rates over 2.5 goals as a 54% chance (fair odds 1.85) against a best price of 1.80. That is a probability, not a guarantee.

18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.