La Liga ·
Atletico Madrid meet Barcelona in the La Liga. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 25% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barcelona 54%. Barcelona average 4.4 goals away; Atletico Madrid concede 0.6 at home. Season goal averages point to 1.6-2.5 (4.1 total). Atletico Madrid average 2.2 goals at home; Barcelona concede 1.0 away. Both teams to score is rated at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and prices can move before kick-off.
Over 1.5 goals
Model 89% · fair 1.13
1.08
Atletico Madrid or Barcelona (no draw)
Model 79% · fair 1.27
1.22
Draw or Barcelona
Model 75% · fair 1.34
1.29
No selection in this match currently clears our value checks (a clear edge over fair odds, with the model close to the bookmakers' consensus).
Value is model probability x odds - 1. See every match on the value bets board.
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid to winShort -4.7% | 25% | 3.99 | 3.80 |
| DrawShort -5.8% | 21% | 4.78 | 4.50 |
| Barcelona to winShort -1.4% | 54% | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Selection | Model | Fair |
|---|
18+ only. ArtificialAcca shows probabilities, not guarantees: accumulators lose far more often than single bets, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. Free support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
| Best |
|---|
| Atletico Madrid or drawShort -10.5% | 47% | 2.14 | 1.91 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid or Barcelona (no draw)Short -4.0% | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Draw or BarcelonaShort -3.8% | 75% | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreShort -5.1% | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Both teams not to scoreShort -5.5% | 29% | 3.49 | 3.30 |
| Selection | Model | Fair | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goalsShort -4.4% | 89% | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 goalsShort -8.5% | 11% | 8.74 | 8.00 |
| Over 2.5 goalsShort -2.0% | 74% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 goalsShort -10.4% | 26% | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 goalsShort -1.2% | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 goalsShort -9.8% | 45% | 2.22 | 2.00 |
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability. Best is the best price found at the last update and can move before kick-off.
